Uneven development of the industry, Shenzhen LED "discontinued" å°´å°¬

[Source: Gaogong LED 's " LED Research Review" magazine March issue reporter / Liu Qiaomei]

The spring breeze sent by the "Semiconductor Lighting Energy Conservation Industry Plan" has not yet had time to iron the industry, and another local lighting industry plan that has been promulgated and implemented for four years, can be retired two years later, but at this time Was told to end the mission ahead of time.

On February 24, 2013, “Shenzhen LED Industry Development Plan (2009-2015)” (hereinafter referred to as “Planning”) was abolished. The Shenzhen Municipal Government did not explain the relevant reasons in the communique.

This abolition order was issued, so that Professor Chai Guangyue, the head of the Department of Optoelectronic Engineering of Shenzhen University, who was involved in the formulation of the above-mentioned "Planning", was a bit embarrassed: "When the year of 2009 was formulated, it is not good to predict the development of the LED industry in the future. Four years have passed, and a more It is suitable for the planning of Shenzhen's development. But it is not necessary to abolish the original plan to make a new plan. Does it mean that the planning at the time has a principled mistake?"

The reporter then surveyed more than 20 local LED companies in Shenzhen. The person in charge of the company said that “I don’t know what the plan was abolished.” What’s more, “I don’t know Shenzhen has LED industry planning”. Some business leaders said: "Industry planning is mostly for a small number of enterprises." No matter who is right or wrong, companies do not care about government planning has already explained the embarrassment of Shenzhen's "discontinuation."

In March 2009, "Shenzhen LED Industry Development Plan (2009-year)" once described the 2015 industrial development goal: "To 2015, we will build an important demonstration base for China's LED industry technology innovation and the development and production of important global LED products. Base: The annual production value of the industry is more than 130 billion yuan, industrialization in the field of white light general lighting, forming a sound industrial chain and innovation chain; cultivating and developing a number of leading enterprises with international competitiveness, cultivating and developing output value of more than 10 billion More than one enterprise of Yuan, more than 2-3 of the output value of more than 5 billion yuan, and more than 10 of the output value of more than 1 billion yuan."

From the current situation, regardless of the output value, the size of the enterprise, or the positioning of the entire industry, it is impossible for the Shenzhen LED industry to complete the set targets as originally planned.

What worries Chai Guangyue is that as the leading city in the development of strategic emerging industries in Guangdong Province, Shenzhen's LED industry has always been in the leading position in the province. However, the development momentum of the Shenzhen LED industry in recent years has been far less than other cities in the Pearl River Delta. “The output value is still the boss, but the proportion in Guangdong Province and even the whole country is shrinking.”

The planning goal is too advanced, largely due to the government's unclear understanding of the industry and the existence of blind spots. Looking back, the government was in the planning of the industrial environment "one leaf blind", around 2009, the LED industry took the lead in Shenzhen into a period of frenzied development, when the local government was enthusiastic about such an emerging industry, want to strategically seize The industry is not an opportunity.

However, in the next two years, a large amount of private capital poured into the LED industry, followed by serious structural overcapacity, and many companies were shuffled. Especially since 2012, a number of local LED display companies in Shenzhen have closed down one after another, making the contradictions increasingly prominent.

It can be said that the development of the LED industry does not meet the original vision of Shenzhen. In addition, compared with the surrounding areas and other provinces, Shenzhen is cautious in the formulation of the rules for the LED industry support policy.

In the industry view, the LED industry's more conservative support policies have not only lost some development opportunities, but also encountered the threat of industrial outflows.

Weak upstream

As the saying goes, the plan can't keep up with the changes. The same is true of planning.

The LED industry plan launched in 2009 has gone through four years, and the changes in the LED industry cannot be underestimated. Professor Wen Shangsheng from the School of Materials Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology said: "The original plan was abolished, and I am afraid that the plan is obviously backward."

The LED industry planning at the national level has also undergone changes. In the spring of 2013, the "Semiconductor Lighting Energy Conservation Industry Plan" proposed that the LED industry scale reached 450 billion yuan in 2015. This is compared with the “12th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Semiconductor Lighting Technology” (Consultation Draft) issued by the Ministry of Science and Technology in July 2012. By 2015, the scale of the LED industry reached 500 billion yuan, down 10%.

According to the statistics of the High-tech LED Industry Research Institute (GLII), China's industrial output value in 2012 was 205.9 billion yuan, leaving only three years, which means that the goal of achieving 100 million yuan is still more difficult.

Chen Feng (pseudonym) has personally participated in the LED industry planning in several provinces and cities in China: "The local government's planning for the LED industry is similar, and it is hoped that the planning will be large and comprehensive. It is best to involve all links in the entire industry chain. It is to introduce benchmark enterprises first, and then introduce related supporting enterprises, the purpose is to attract more enterprises to promote local economic development."

Shenzhen’s planning for the LED industry did not circumvent this strange circle, but in fact, especially the upstream sapphire substrate and epitaxial projects have had little effect. "Planning" has proposed to focus on supporting the processing and fabrication of large-size sapphire substrate crystals and GaN homogeneous substrate materials, supporting GaN-based material growth and low-cost device manufacturing technology research and development and industrialization projects; focusing on the development of GaN-based blue, The green epitaxial wafer and the quaternary InGaAlP red and yellow epitaxial wafers focus on high-quality, large-scale epitaxy and chip industrialization projects.

Even with this planning, the upstream of the industrial chain has always been a weak link in Shenzhen. The reporter reviewed the list of major companies in epitaxy, chip, packaging and application products mentioned in the plan. The main representative enterprises of the extension project are Century Jingyuan and Fangda Guoke. Today, Century Jingyuan has become a "unfinished" project for blind investment, and Fangda Guoke’s outreach project in Shenzhen has also suffered a terrible loss.

"In the extension project, the government has suffered losses, but it cannot be bitten by snakes for ten years, and it is afraid of well ropes for ten years." Chai Guangyue said frankly, "Shenzhen has missed the best opportunity to support the extension project."

In addition, Orende Electronics, the only representative of the chip company in Shenzhen, has already placed the extension project in Jiangmen. The reason is very simple. The Jiangmen municipal government has considerable subsidies for companies to purchase equipment. Orende insiders told reporters: "Olund's chip production line is impossible to move out of Shenzhen, because the relevant departments will not approve. In Shenzhen, chip companies are scarce, Orende's chip production is not large, But it plays an indispensable role in the LED industry in Shenzhen."

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